Saturday, March 12, 2011
Venture investment went online
New tool for venture investor SecondMarket have succeed how it was predicted by leading foresight expert Edward Mushinsky http://ierarhia.blogspot.com/2011/03/secondmarket-boost-startups-market.html
Saturday, March 5, 2011
New big investment ideas
1. new social marketing company gets funded every week
http://vator.tv/news/2011-02-24-syncapse-closing-25m-for-social-marketing
2. Mobile geo-services will be a new big idea
For example,
Ning, the "build your own social network" platform co-founded by Marc Andreessen, is launching an entirely new business tonight, an attempt to capture part of the fast-growing mobile chat and social networking industry.
The new product, "Mogwee," is basically a fun, real-time, mobile chat service, for both 1-on-1 and group conversations.
3. For Other new big idea see the John Connor blog
http://znacomstva.blogspot.com/2011/03/new-1-billion-ideas.html
http://vator.tv/news/2011-02-24-syncapse-closing-25m-for-social-marketing
2. Mobile geo-services will be a new big idea
For example,
Ning, the "build your own social network" platform co-founded by Marc Andreessen, is launching an entirely new business tonight, an attempt to capture part of the fast-growing mobile chat and social networking industry.
The new product, "Mogwee," is basically a fun, real-time, mobile chat service, for both 1-on-1 and group conversations.
3. For Other new big idea see the John Connor blog
http://znacomstva.blogspot.com/2011/03/new-1-billion-ideas.html
Friday, March 4, 2011
How to realize self-organizing business model
In order to realize self-organizing model, from the outset to accept as immutable the two key tenets of the thesis:
all people in the system are equally talented, able to invent new business entity, and therefore - can act as initiators of startups, new businesses. Attitude toward man as a "detail", "cog" servant organization that something must it be eliminated. Any employee is perceived and evaluated solely in terms of high humanism;
company is highly decentralized. That is why the main thesis, the broadcast director, is: "Everyone has the right to create your own, new project within the organization."
If these postulates are accepted as absolute and fundamental, the next stage - the analysis of the resource base. We need to understand whether there is an opportunity to rely solely on the resources of the organization itself - or whether to involve someone from the outside. The answer to this question determines the number of levels in the hierarchy of the system fixes the ability to access its members to the total resource base, and also allows us to formulate principles to bring to a macro resources of the owner and top management. In the latter case, formed partnerships (they resursonesuschie) relations in the literal interpretation of "you give me - I told you" when a negative connotation gives way to a positive, harmonious interpretation.
Since each of the participants in the system has the right to run their own projects and attract external resources, mechanisms should be designed and defined borders, regulate the recruitment of temporary labor collectives, the creation of separate legal entities and other procedural matters. In addition, regardless of the chosen form factors to be considered the financial terms of the existence of each new project, as well as communications and "domestic" channels. So gradually built up "shell" that keeps the system from collapse, and providing for its security. Something similar would have happened if the orange would be formed not from the fetus, "from cover. One should clearly understand how we keep together a lot of talented people who are outside the shell there is nothing in common.
It is important to answer another difficult question: whether the initiator of the permanent head, forming around a gravitational core, or the time he was "let go" project, so that in future they will have to manage other people, with an entirely different rules.
After you have formed the core of the new system will determine the rules of the transition of people from one "slices" to another, or (if necessary) - the conditions of maintaining the status quo. It is widely believed, though good startups "nothing else to do more can not, they skate - venture projects, and not boring performance of staff duties under the current system. However, practice shows that innovators sometimes very tired from the continuous business of creativity. They want to "relax." And even more so - to "feel the result, rather than just constantly" sowing seeds ". Simulated our system takes into account this fact and provides an opportunity to change the status of a person with "warlord" to "staff officer", move it to the "good", where fighting for the survival of high-risk start-ups, "in the rear, into the bowels of a large-scale metaproekta (which will be accompanied by not only relevant changes in the conditions of life, the emergence of a sense of "systematic" existence, but also opportunities for further education). No accident in the construction of self-organization are usually found another important element - a system of universal education, which operates in a wide range, from individual coaching to active partnerships with international educational centers, and does not exclude changes in the profession (at the request of a person).
Self-developing system may seem very "democratic." But it is not: the basic rules apply to everyone without exception. Because otherwise be lost "planar" power system, which requires equal opportunities for people to move into the core start-up and back into the kernel (not so much to gain peace, but rather in the name of increasing the productivity of people by stable conditions of the center).
Begs the question: what forces are capable not only to keep the same talented people together and "move" them to one side? First of all - common ideology based on strong spiritual values. Only abstract and spiritual "problem of cosmic scale" might give people the energy to overcome all the difficulties and risks that accompany the development of such a system. So, you want to create a powerful ideology. Ideology, which, as the system itself will be built on the principle of viral, having a similar ability to "penetrate into the body of a person.
One of the most effective ways to spread this ideology can be tough ... ernichanie raised to the rank of the absolute basic paradigm of communication - communication mocking, REM, clownish. This kind of presentation of information have proven to be among the best rhetoricians. In the classroom the teacher or a rhetorician must play the role of a jester, and for quite a long time - the total performance. Only then heard remembered, settles in the mind. In this case, it does not matter attitude listeners to the speaker. Indeed, the challenge is to convey to people the information (and so that it is well "settled down", despite the apparent conflict with a rival personal ideology), but not in that he has achieved self-affirmation (which is based more on delusions of grandeur and has to do quite another, authoritarian systems). Here the fit to apply to Ecclesiastes, and, more broadly, to the practice of citing and interpreting biblical texts. In this sense, Ecclesiastes - indicative sample of abstracts that can change the world.
So, in a similar way could be structured and corporate ideology: from the collection of personal equipment leader it eventually grow into "life" of the company through the implementation of a whole system of special events.
But the ideology - is not the only important mechanism of self-organizing system. Require powerful mechanisms of control and security, formed by professionals - those who understand how to prevent damage that can cause system, people with alien or hostile to the values.
An important element of our simulated system is a harmonious unified IT platform that defines the common basic standards for all - from the "core" and "slices" to start-ups, just emerging on the periphery, close to the "skin". This binder and a vehicle control for the center.
Clear "architectural design", a single ideology and a common IT strategy form a "fiber" to help keep the "orange segments' together, not allowing them to move relative to each other.
all people in the system are equally talented, able to invent new business entity, and therefore - can act as initiators of startups, new businesses. Attitude toward man as a "detail", "cog" servant organization that something must it be eliminated. Any employee is perceived and evaluated solely in terms of high humanism;
company is highly decentralized. That is why the main thesis, the broadcast director, is: "Everyone has the right to create your own, new project within the organization."
If these postulates are accepted as absolute and fundamental, the next stage - the analysis of the resource base. We need to understand whether there is an opportunity to rely solely on the resources of the organization itself - or whether to involve someone from the outside. The answer to this question determines the number of levels in the hierarchy of the system fixes the ability to access its members to the total resource base, and also allows us to formulate principles to bring to a macro resources of the owner and top management. In the latter case, formed partnerships (they resursonesuschie) relations in the literal interpretation of "you give me - I told you" when a negative connotation gives way to a positive, harmonious interpretation.
Since each of the participants in the system has the right to run their own projects and attract external resources, mechanisms should be designed and defined borders, regulate the recruitment of temporary labor collectives, the creation of separate legal entities and other procedural matters. In addition, regardless of the chosen form factors to be considered the financial terms of the existence of each new project, as well as communications and "domestic" channels. So gradually built up "shell" that keeps the system from collapse, and providing for its security. Something similar would have happened if the orange would be formed not from the fetus, "from cover. One should clearly understand how we keep together a lot of talented people who are outside the shell there is nothing in common.
It is important to answer another difficult question: whether the initiator of the permanent head, forming around a gravitational core, or the time he was "let go" project, so that in future they will have to manage other people, with an entirely different rules.
After you have formed the core of the new system will determine the rules of the transition of people from one "slices" to another, or (if necessary) - the conditions of maintaining the status quo. It is widely believed, though good startups "nothing else to do more can not, they skate - venture projects, and not boring performance of staff duties under the current system. However, practice shows that innovators sometimes very tired from the continuous business of creativity. They want to "relax." And even more so - to "feel the result, rather than just constantly" sowing seeds ". Simulated our system takes into account this fact and provides an opportunity to change the status of a person with "warlord" to "staff officer", move it to the "good", where fighting for the survival of high-risk start-ups, "in the rear, into the bowels of a large-scale metaproekta (which will be accompanied by not only relevant changes in the conditions of life, the emergence of a sense of "systematic" existence, but also opportunities for further education). No accident in the construction of self-organization are usually found another important element - a system of universal education, which operates in a wide range, from individual coaching to active partnerships with international educational centers, and does not exclude changes in the profession (at the request of a person).
Self-developing system may seem very "democratic." But it is not: the basic rules apply to everyone without exception. Because otherwise be lost "planar" power system, which requires equal opportunities for people to move into the core start-up and back into the kernel (not so much to gain peace, but rather in the name of increasing the productivity of people by stable conditions of the center).
Begs the question: what forces are capable not only to keep the same talented people together and "move" them to one side? First of all - common ideology based on strong spiritual values. Only abstract and spiritual "problem of cosmic scale" might give people the energy to overcome all the difficulties and risks that accompany the development of such a system. So, you want to create a powerful ideology. Ideology, which, as the system itself will be built on the principle of viral, having a similar ability to "penetrate into the body of a person.
One of the most effective ways to spread this ideology can be tough ... ernichanie raised to the rank of the absolute basic paradigm of communication - communication mocking, REM, clownish. This kind of presentation of information have proven to be among the best rhetoricians. In the classroom the teacher or a rhetorician must play the role of a jester, and for quite a long time - the total performance. Only then heard remembered, settles in the mind. In this case, it does not matter attitude listeners to the speaker. Indeed, the challenge is to convey to people the information (and so that it is well "settled down", despite the apparent conflict with a rival personal ideology), but not in that he has achieved self-affirmation (which is based more on delusions of grandeur and has to do quite another, authoritarian systems). Here the fit to apply to Ecclesiastes, and, more broadly, to the practice of citing and interpreting biblical texts. In this sense, Ecclesiastes - indicative sample of abstracts that can change the world.
So, in a similar way could be structured and corporate ideology: from the collection of personal equipment leader it eventually grow into "life" of the company through the implementation of a whole system of special events.
But the ideology - is not the only important mechanism of self-organizing system. Require powerful mechanisms of control and security, formed by professionals - those who understand how to prevent damage that can cause system, people with alien or hostile to the values.
An important element of our simulated system is a harmonious unified IT platform that defines the common basic standards for all - from the "core" and "slices" to start-ups, just emerging on the periphery, close to the "skin". This binder and a vehicle control for the center.
Clear "architectural design", a single ideology and a common IT strategy form a "fiber" to help keep the "orange segments' together, not allowing them to move relative to each other.
Sunday, February 20, 2011
How to do Social commerce?
Social commerce will transform global economy.
New innovative models of shopping and commerce will emerge, particularly where location-based services are concerned. The shopping app RedLaser is a perfect example of the direction in which commerce is going, Jain told me. The app allows iPhone or Android owners to scan a barcode with their mobile device and see price comparisons online and at local brick-and-mortar stores, allowing them to locate the best price possible. These kinds of mergers of online and offline shopping will become more prominent in 2011, said Jain, who believes that Foursquare will be the principal driver of developments in location, commerce, and social.
Part of the new evolution of mobile commerce will be new developments in near field communications, which involves the use of proximity sensors to guide mobile users through stores and malls. These proximity sensors, said Jain, will be deployed more widely among small businesses in the coming year to allow users to locate specific items down to the very aisle and shelf. For anyone who tried to shovel their way through Best Buy this holiday season to find that one stupid gadget (that’s always hidden under a pile of other gadgets that other customers have pushed around), an app like that would be a God-send.
The best advises on social commerce was done by leading innovative marketing expert Edward Mushinsky http://futurerating.blogspot.com/2011/02/social-will-dominate-future-innovation.html
New innovative models of shopping and commerce will emerge, particularly where location-based services are concerned. The shopping app RedLaser is a perfect example of the direction in which commerce is going, Jain told me. The app allows iPhone or Android owners to scan a barcode with their mobile device and see price comparisons online and at local brick-and-mortar stores, allowing them to locate the best price possible. These kinds of mergers of online and offline shopping will become more prominent in 2011, said Jain, who believes that Foursquare will be the principal driver of developments in location, commerce, and social.
Part of the new evolution of mobile commerce will be new developments in near field communications, which involves the use of proximity sensors to guide mobile users through stores and malls. These proximity sensors, said Jain, will be deployed more widely among small businesses in the coming year to allow users to locate specific items down to the very aisle and shelf. For anyone who tried to shovel their way through Best Buy this holiday season to find that one stupid gadget (that’s always hidden under a pile of other gadgets that other customers have pushed around), an app like that would be a God-send.
The best advises on social commerce was done by leading innovative marketing expert Edward Mushinsky http://futurerating.blogspot.com/2011/02/social-will-dominate-future-innovation.html
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Edward Mushinsky predicted die of traditional search
A leading marketing innovation expert Edward Mushinsky predicted
the company's "horizontal" search strategy is increasingly vulnerable to specialist search sites.
The bigger question, then, is how long traditional search — search that "sees" a vast swath of the Web's 180 million sites — can remain an attractive business model.
Google's humbling in the property sector indicates that the real threat is not from such Goliaths as Microsoft, but from a myriad of Davids—specialized search engines tailored to conduct "vertical" search tasks. Examples of these include restaurant reservations by OpenTable (OPEN), job hunting at Simply Hired, and online travel with sites like Orbitz (OWW) and Priceline (PCLN). These sites are not promoted explicitly as "search engines," but that's what they are; they also happen to execute transactions.
Now social search leads to the growth rate. It is companies like - search discounts site Groupon, specialized search sites for hotels, tourist destinations and real estate Realtor.com, Trulia, and Zillow in the U.S. and Rightmove.
People are now looking for recommendations of those who have already tried the required service or have lived in places where they congregate.
Social search market, as well as market of predictions - that are the search market of the future.
This was predicted in blog
http://ierarhia.blogspot.com/2011/02/john-connor-predict-us-strategy-to-make.html
the company's "horizontal" search strategy is increasingly vulnerable to specialist search sites.
The bigger question, then, is how long traditional search — search that "sees" a vast swath of the Web's 180 million sites — can remain an attractive business model.
Google's humbling in the property sector indicates that the real threat is not from such Goliaths as Microsoft, but from a myriad of Davids—specialized search engines tailored to conduct "vertical" search tasks. Examples of these include restaurant reservations by OpenTable (OPEN), job hunting at Simply Hired, and online travel with sites like Orbitz (OWW) and Priceline (PCLN). These sites are not promoted explicitly as "search engines," but that's what they are; they also happen to execute transactions.
Now social search leads to the growth rate. It is companies like - search discounts site Groupon, specialized search sites for hotels, tourist destinations and real estate Realtor.com, Trulia, and Zillow in the U.S. and Rightmove.
People are now looking for recommendations of those who have already tried the required service or have lived in places where they congregate.
Social search market, as well as market of predictions - that are the search market of the future.
This was predicted in blog
http://ierarhia.blogspot.com/2011/02/john-connor-predict-us-strategy-to-make.html
Monday, February 14, 2011
Nokia will die
Nokia has picked Windows as its smartphone operating system.
This will depreciate Nokia capitalization and lead to their acquision.
John Connor said "Nokia will follow the Palm way."
http://futurerating.ucoz.ru/news/nokia_down/2011-02-14-2
HP, which bought Palm for $1.2 billion last year decided to kill off the Palm brand. They launched three new smartphones under the HP brand — Pre 2, Pre 3 and HP Veer — and to me they are marginally interesting.
http://gigaom.com/mobile/the-palm-is-dead-long-live-the-webos-so-what/
Other forecasts about mobile market http://www.businessinsider.com/mary-meeker-matt-murphy-2011-2#-1
This will depreciate Nokia capitalization and lead to their acquision.
John Connor said "Nokia will follow the Palm way."
http://futurerating.ucoz.ru/news/nokia_down/2011-02-14-2
HP, which bought Palm for $1.2 billion last year decided to kill off the Palm brand. They launched three new smartphones under the HP brand — Pre 2, Pre 3 and HP Veer — and to me they are marginally interesting.
http://gigaom.com/mobile/the-palm-is-dead-long-live-the-webos-so-what/
Other forecasts about mobile market http://www.businessinsider.com/mary-meeker-matt-murphy-2011-2#-1
Friday, February 4, 2011
Сбывшийся прогноз
Сегодня сбылся мой прогноз 4-х летней давности:
http://coolgoogle.blogspot.com/2007/09/blog-post_28.html
- сайты, которые последовали рекомендациям о вирусном продвижении через видео-сервисы и профессиональные соревнования - смогли увеличить аудиторию сайта в 25 раз за месяц, а прибыль удвоить
http://vsocial.livejournal.com/117997.html
Вот что я писал в 2007:
На чем социальные сети и мобильные операторы будут зарабатывать
1. Реклама. Мой прогноз на будущее рекламы:
Мобильные телефоны станут главным рекламным носителем - потому что будут самым эффективным средством рекламы.
Судите сами:
Приходящий СМС не проигнорируешь, это факт!
Потом, мобильные операторы могут определять положение абонента и передавать локализованную рекламу. А это почти гарантия отклика абонента на рекламный призыв, если еще и знаешь его мотивацию.
А для этого ничего не мешает фиксировать историю абонента по мобильным транзакциям.
Вот мои статьи с прогнозами:
Про монетизацию социальных сетей - http://rublicon.ru/columns/vsocial/385.html
Про видео в социальных сетях http://broadcasting.ru/articles2/Oborandteh/video_v_socialn_setyah
Про монетизацию http://www.sostav.ru/columns/opinion/2007/stat23/
http://coolgoogle.blogspot.com/2007/09/blog-post_28.html
- сайты, которые последовали рекомендациям о вирусном продвижении через видео-сервисы и профессиональные соревнования - смогли увеличить аудиторию сайта в 25 раз за месяц, а прибыль удвоить
http://vsocial.livejournal.com/117997.html
Вот что я писал в 2007:
На чем социальные сети и мобильные операторы будут зарабатывать
1. Реклама. Мой прогноз на будущее рекламы:
Мобильные телефоны станут главным рекламным носителем - потому что будут самым эффективным средством рекламы.
Судите сами:
Приходящий СМС не проигнорируешь, это факт!
Потом, мобильные операторы могут определять положение абонента и передавать локализованную рекламу. А это почти гарантия отклика абонента на рекламный призыв, если еще и знаешь его мотивацию.
А для этого ничего не мешает фиксировать историю абонента по мобильным транзакциям.
Вот мои статьи с прогнозами:
Про монетизацию социальных сетей - http://rublicon.ru/columns/vsocial/385.html
Про видео в социальных сетях http://broadcasting.ru/articles2/Oborandteh/video_v_socialn_setyah
Про монетизацию http://www.sostav.ru/columns/opinion/2007/stat23/
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